RISK FACTORS

Risk factors are personal characteristics or environmental conditions scientifically established to increase the likelihood of problem behavior. The risk and protective factor framework suggests that risk factors combine to contribute to and shape problem behavior over the course of adolescent development and, while no single risk factor is more potent than another, the more risk factors present in life, the greater the probability of problem behaviors (Bry, McKeon, and Pandina, 1982; Newcomb, 1995).

Some risk factors are causally related to negative outcomes while others are simply correlated with negative outcomes. They can range from prenatal biological traits to broad environmental conditions that increase an individual's vulnerability to negative developmental outcomes (Small and Luster, 1994). Biological risk traits (e.g., genetic markers) refer to an individual predisposition toward developing a specific problem condition. For example, children born to parents with schizophrenia are more likely than other children to develop symptoms of schizophrenia (Rende and Plomin, 1993). These traits are important to consider because environmental factors can play a triggering role in determining outcomes for individuals at genetic risk. Environmental conditions can have both direct and indirect effects on overall risk. For example, poverty directly affects children by lowering the quality of their food and shelter. It puts parents under constant strain so that they find it difficult to respond consistently to a child's needs.

There is also a cumulative effect of these stressors such that a prolonged exposure to risk factors increases the likelihood of negative outcomes. For example, school failure in early grades may not be associated with antisocial behavior, but it may become related if failure is repeated over a period of time. Consequently, as the number of risk factors increases, the cumulation exerts an increasingly strong influence on children. According to Sterling and colleagues (1985), school adjustment problems associated with a stressful life event, such as moving or death of a parent, worsened when another stressful event or circumstance arose concurrently.

Risk factors (as well as protective factors) are organized typically into life domains or spheres of influence, which are loosely identified by relational proximity, starting with the individual and extending outward in concentric circles to the community.

Individual

The factors in this sphere are identified as those individual behaviors or characteristics that affect risk of, or resistance to, engaging in violent behavior. The risk and protective factors and their indicators unique to the individual sphere are presented below.

FACTOR

INDICATOR

Risk Antisocial Behavior and Alienation Suicides, Juvenile Arrests for Vandalism, Juvenile Arrests for Drug Alcohol- or Drug-Related Arrests Abuse, Juvenile Alcohol- or Drug-Related Arrests

Gun Possession

Self-Report of Gun Carrying on School Property, Juvenile Arrests for Weapons Possession, Arrests for Gun Possession, Gun Confiscations at School

Teen Parenthood and Sexual Activity

Adolescent Pregnancies, Sexual Activity Among High School Students

Favorable Attitudes Toward Drug Use

Positive Attitudes Toward Alcohol Abuse or Drug Use

Early Onset of Violence

Juvenile Arrests for Violent Crime, Juvenile Arrests for Serious Violent Crime

Early Onset of Alcohol and Drug Use

Juvenile Self-Report of First Drug or Alcohol Experiences and/or Regular Use

Cognitive and Neurological Deficits

Learning Disabilities, Emotional Disturbance, Traumatic Brain Injury, Attention Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder, Special Education Enrollment

Family

The factors in the family sphere of influence typically are related to family structure, support, culture, and functioning and ultimately affect the behavior of the individual members. The risk and protective factors and their indicators unique to the family sphere are presented below.

FACTOR

INDICATOR

Risk

Family History of the Problem Behavior

Clients in Alcohol or Other Drug Treatment Programs, Educational Attainment (Fewer Than 12 Years of School), Low Adult Literacy, Pregnant Mothers Using Alcohol, Babies Born With Fetal Alcohol Syndrome

Family Management Problems

Children Living Outside of the Family,

Parental Involvement in Child's School

Child Victimization and Maltreatment

Reported Child Abuse and Neglect Cases, Unpaid Child Support,

Requests for Social Service Intervention

Family Conflict

Divorce, Domestic Violence Arrests, Intimate Murders,

911 Calls for Domestic Violence

School

The factors in the school sphere of influence typically are related to school attendance, performance, and attachment. The risk and protective factors and their indicators unique to the school sphere are presented below.

FACTOR

INDICATOR

Risk

Academic Failure

Average Student Reading Proficiency, Average Student Math Proficiency, Average Student Science Proficiency

Negative Attitudes Toward School

General Equivalency Diplomas, Completion of 4 Years of High School, Chronic Absenteeism, Truancy, Suspensions/Expulsions

Inadequate School Climate

Exposure to Teacher Abuse by Students, Violence/Crime in Schools, Teacher Attitudes/Job Satisfaction, Physical Decay of School

School Dropout

Event Dropout, Status Dropout

Peer

The factors in the peer sphere of influence are related to peer norms, attachment, socialization, and interaction processes. The risk and protective factors and their indicators unique to the peer sphere are presented below.

FACTOR

INDICATOR

Risk

Gang Involvement

Gang Activity Participation, Police Reports of Youth Gang Activity, Perceived Peer Gang Involvement

Peer Alcohol, Drug Use, and Delinquency

Reported Use of Alcohol and Drugs by Friends, Violent Friends

Community

The factors in the community sphere of influence are generally related to the physical environment, available economic and recreational opportunities, existing social supports, and other issues that affect successful functioning. The risk and protective factors and their indicators unique to the community sphere are presented below.

FACTOR

INDICATOR

Risk

Availability of Alcohol and Drugs

Total Alcoholic Beverage Sales by Location,

Trends in Exposure to Drug Use, Perceived Availability Drugs

Availability of Firearms

Firearms in the Home, Firearms Sales

Community Crime

Weapons-Related Charges, Violent Crime Rate,

Arrests for Driving Under the Influence, Adult Drug-Related Arrests, Adult Alcohol-Related Arrests, Adult Property-Crime Arrests, Alcohol-Related Traffic Fatalities, Murders by Weapon, Murder Rate,

Gang-Related Activity Reported by Law Enforcement Agencies

 

Social and Physical Disorder

Hate Crimes, Poor External Housing Conditions, Broken Light Fixtures in Public Halls, Neighborhood Watch Organizations, Non-Enforcement of Building Code Violations/Condemned Buildings, Homeless Projections, Vandalism and Graffiti, Public Drunkenness

 

Community Instability

Net Migration Rate, Children Moving, New Home Construction,

Home Ownership Rates, Rental Occupied Housing, Property Vacancy

 

Low Community Attachment

Population Voting in Congressional or Presidential Elections

 

Economic Deprivation

Aid to Families With Dependent Children (AFDC/TANF), Children Living Below Poverty Level, Children in Working Poor Families, Families Living Below Poverty Level, Persons Living Below Poverty Level, Female Family Householder With No Spouse Present, Food Stamp Program Recipients, Free and Reduced Lunch Program, Unemployment, Individuals Without Health Insurance, Children Without Health Insurance

By integrating the risk and protective models, the new Title V delinquency prevention model can more adequately identify at-risk youths and then provide them with methods of healthy development to combat the likelihood of developing problem behaviors.